Mennyire tudn� az �llamot a legaliz�lt marihu�n�b�l?
Could cannabis be a COVID-19 treatment?
Tartalomjegyzék:
Colorado, az els� olyan �llam, amely lehet�v� teszi a szabadid�s marihu�na elad�s�t, v�rhat�an 60 milli� doll�rr�l lesz sz� 70 milli� doll�rra ebben az �vben a t�rv�nyes pot �rt�kes�t�sb�l sz�rmaz� ad�kb�l, a Denver Business Journal szerint. Az USA-ban az �llamok a jogi marihu�na-elad�sokb�l sz�rmaz� ad�bev�telb�l csaknem 3 milli�rd doll�rt nyernek, a Investmentmatome �j elemz�s szerint. Mi az �llapotod a torta?
Trendek �s elvihet�ek
Az Egyes�lt �llamok nyerni fogsz�m�t�saink szerint �vi 3,098,866,907 USD �llami �s helyi ad�t - ez t�bb mint k�tszerese a Small Business Administration 2013-as teljes k�lts�gvet�s�nek.
Kaliforni�ban a legt�bbet nyerheti�a marihu�na elad�s�b�l sz�rmaz� ad�kb�l. Az �llam 519.287.052 doll�rba ker�l, ami majdnem lefedi a 2013-as k�lts�gvet�st a Kaliforniai Parkok �s Szabadid�k�zpontok�rt.
Hogyan m�retezt�k a marihu�na piacon
A legt�bb �llamban a marihu�nafelhaszn�l�s illeg�lis, �gy neh�z konkr�t sz�mokat kapni a megv�s�rolt �s fogyasztott marihu�na mennyis�g�r�l. Ennek az �rt�knek a becsl�s�hez az anyagcserezavarokr�l �s a ment�lis eg�szs�g�gyi szolg�latokr�l sz�l� adatokat haszn�ltuk az egyes �llamokban 25 �ves �s id�sebb marihu�na-doh�nyosok sz�zal�kos ar�ny�ra, �s az adott n�pess�g 25 �vesn�l id�sebb koroszt�ly�t megszoroztuk, hogy megkapjuk a felhaszn�l�k sz�m�t minden egyes �llamban. Ezt k�vet�en az Egyes�lt �llamokban t�bb mint 25-�t t�lt�tt�k fel az �llam felhaszn�l�i ar�ny�t, �s megszoroztuk, hogy a piacon az egyes �llamok piacm�ret�nek meghat�roz�s�hoz a marihu�na piaci becsl�se (a Harvard Egyetem k�zgazd�sza Jeffrey Miron 14 milli�rd doll�r�val m�rve).
A nem p�rtatlan ad�alap �ltal �ssze�ll�tott �llami �s helyi ad�kulcsokat arra haszn�ltuk fel, hogy megbecs�lj�k az egyes ad�z�si bev�telekb�l sz�rmaz� minden egyes �llam �ltal fizetend� �sszeget. Hozz�adtuk egy 15% -os j�ved�ki ad�t (egy meghat�rozott term�kre kivetett ad�t, p�ld�ul cigarett�t vagy g�zt), ami a marihu�na v�s�rl�sakor a Colorado j�ved�ki ad�. A teljes k�plet�rt l�sd a cikk alj�t.
Mennyibe ker�lt a Colorado a marihu�na legaliz�l�sa �ta? Az �v els� hat h�napj�ban az �llam 25,307,067 doll�rt gy�jti �ssze a marihu�na �rt�kes�t�s�vel kapcsolatos ad�kb�l. 2015 j�nius�ig Colorado elv�rja, hogy ak�r 70 milli� doll�r �sszeget gy�jts�n �ssze - nem messze a becs�lt 78.157.904 doll�rt�l. N�zz�k meg a t�bl�zatot, hogy megn�zz�k, mennyi minden egyes �llam �vente gy�jti a forgalmi ad�t, ha a marihu�na szabadid�s �s gy�gy�szati felhaszn�l�s�t jogszer�v� tett�k.
�rdekli a j�v� Investmentmatome tanulm�nyait? Kattintson ide, hogy a friss�t�sek k�zvetlen�l a postal�d�j�ba ker�ljenek.
Mennyi p�nzt kaphat minden �llam
G�rgessen jobbra az �sszes kateg�ria megtekint�s�hez.
| �llapot | 25 �ves �s ann�l id�sebb n�pess�g | T�bb mint 25 �ves n�pess�g, aki marihu�n�t f�st�lt az elm�lt h�napban | Marihu�na doh�nyosok sz�ma | Az �llam ar�nya az amerikai marihu�na piacon | Marihu�na piaci m�rete | Kombin�lt ad�kulcs (�llami �s helyi) | J�ved�ki ad�kulcs | Bev�telek az �rt�kes�t�sb�l �s a j�ved�ki ad�b�l |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 3,209,646 | 3.38% | 108,486 | 1.03% | $144,086,238 | 8.51% | 15% | $33,874,675 |
| Alaszka | 464,594 | 11.18% | 51,942 | 0.49% | $68,986,493 | 1.69% | 15% | $11,513,846 |
| Arizona | 4,280,464 | 5.33% | 228,149 | 2.16% | $303,016,813 | 8.17% | 15% | $70,208,995 |
| Arkansas | 1,949,382 | 3.61% | 70,373 | 0.67% | $93,465,820 | 9.19% | 15% | $22,609,382 |
| Kalifornia | 24,779,784 | 6.74% | 1,670,157 | 15.84% | $2,218,227,477 | 8.41% | 15% | $519,287,052 |
| Colorado | 3,444,654 | 7.63% | 262,827 | 2.49% | $349,075,052 | 7.39% | 15% | $78,157,904 |
| Connecticut | 2,457,978 | 6.01% | 147,724 | 1.40% | $196,200,961 | 6.35% | 15% | $41,888,905 |
| Delaware | 618,612 | 4.95% | 30,621 | 0.29% | $40,669,816 | 0.00% | 15% | $6,100,472 |
| Columbiai k�rzet | 439,531 | 7.24% | 31,822 | 0.30% | $42,264,598 | 5.75% | 15% | $8,769,904 |
| Florida | 13,503,747 | 4.73% | 638,727 | 6.06% | $848,328,585 | 6.62% | 15% | $183,408,640 |
| Gr�zia | 6,403,838 | 3.88% | 248,469 | 2.36% | $330,005,160 | 6.97% | 15% | $72,502,134 |
| Hawaii | 952,281 | 5.69% | 54,185 | 0.51% | $71,965,783 | 4.35% | 15% | $13,925,379 |
| Idaho | 1,012,786 | 3.77% | 38,182 | 0.36% | $50,711,646 | 6.03% | 15% | $10,664,659 |
| Illinois | 8,558,895 | 4.79% | 409,971 | 3.89% | $544,505,009 | 8.16% | 15% | $126,107,360 |
| Indiana | 4,278,945 | 4.31% | 184,423 | 1.75% | $244,941,652 | 7.00% | 15% | $53,887,163 |
| Iowa | 2,036,993 | 4.13% | 84,128 | 0.80% | $111,734,749 | 6.78% | 15% | $24,335,828 |
| Kansas | 1,863,224 | 2.55% | 47,512 | 0.45% | $63,103,568 | 8.15% | 15% | $14,608,476 |
| Kentucky | 2,935,461 | 3.65% | 107,144 | 1.02% | $142,304,242 | 6.00% | 15% | $29,883,891 |
| Louisiana | 3,006,605 | 3.02% | 90,799 | 0.86% | $120,595,745 | 8.89% | 15% | $28,810,324 |
| Maine | 947,017 | 6.29% | 59,567 | 0.57% | $79,114,682 | 5.50% | 15% | $16,218,510 |
| Maryland | 3,972,135 | 3.66% | 145,380 | 1.38% | $193,087,319 | 6.00% | 15% | $40,548,337 |
| Massachusetts | 4,556,609 | 6.34% | 288,889 | 2.74% | $383,689,301 | 6.25% | 15% | $81,533,976 |
| Michigan | 6,621,018 | 6.61% | 437,649 | 4.15% | $581,265,967 | 6.00% | 15% | $122,065,853 |
| Minnesota | 3,600,744 | 4.33% | 155,912 | 1.48% | $207,075,543 | 7.19% | 15% | $45,950,063 |
| Mississippi | 1,911,968 | 3.88% | 74,184 | 0.70% | $98,528,305 | 7.00% | 15% | $21,676,227 |
| Missouri | 4,023,641 | 3.83% | 154,105 | 1.46% | $204,675,880 | 7.58% | 15% | $46,215,814 |
| Montana | 686,770 | 7.94% | 54,530 | 0.52% | $72,423,663 | 0.00% | 15% | $10,863,549 |
| Nebraska | 1,206,908 | 3.74% | 45,138 | 0.43% | $59,950,724 | 6.79% | 15% | $13,063,263 |
| Nevada | 1,840,642 | 6.44% | 118,537 | 1.12% | $157,435,933 | 7.93% | 15% | $36,100,059 |
| New Hampshire | 919,883 | 5.41% | 49,766 | 0.47% | $66,096,510 | 0.00% | 15% | $9,914,476 |
| New Jersey | 6,049,352 | 3.96% | 239,554 | 2.27% | $318,165,225 | 6.97% | 15% | $69,900,900 |
| �j-Mexik� | 1,360,330 | 6.94% | 94,407 | 0.90% | $125,386,972 | 7.26% | 15% | $27,911,140 |
| New York | 13,309,761 | 5.98% | 795,924 | 7.55% | $1,057,109,824 | 8.47% | 15% | $248,103,676 |
| �szak-Karolina | 6,489,883 | 4.24% | 275,171 | 2.61% | $365,469,713 | 6.90% | 15% | $80,037,867 |
| �szak-Dakota | 457,904 | 3.07% | 14,058 | 0.13% | $18,670,738 | 6.55% | 15% | $4,023,544 |
| Ohio | 7,770,716 | 5.39% | 418,842 | 3.97% | $556,286,435 | 7.11% | 15% | $122,994,931 |
| Oklahoma | 2,487,456 | 4.55% | 113,179 | 1.07% | $150,319,552 | 8.72% | 15% | $35,655,798 |
| Oregon | 2,671,772 | 10.25% | 273,857 | 2.60% | $363,723,974 | 0.00% | 15% | $54,558,596 |
| Pennsylvania | 8,756,317 | 4.20% | 367,765 | 3.49% | $488,449,235 | 6.34% | 15% | $104,235,067 |
| Rhode Island | 712,271 | 9.74% | 69,375 | 0.66% | $92,140,993 | 7.00% | 15% | $20,271,018 |
| d�l Karolina | 3,151,616 | 5.15% | 162,308 | 1.54% | $215,570,433 | 7.19% | 15% | $47,835,079 |
| South Dakota | 544,292 | 4.28% | 23,296 | 0.22% | $30,940,291 | 5.83% | 15% | $6,444,863 |
| Tennessee | 4,336,473 | 3.81% | 165,220 | 1.57% | $219,437,219 | 9.45% | 15% | $53,652,400 |
| Texas | 16,390,379 | 3.30% | 540,883 | 5.13% | $718,375,651 | 8.15% | 15% | $166,303,963 |
| Utah | 1,641,335 | 3.04% | 49,897 | 0.47% | $66,270,383 | 6.68% | 15% | $14,367,419 |
| Vermont | 434,948 | 9.34% | 40,624 | 0.39% | $53,955,147 | 6.14% | 15% | $11,406,118 |
| Virginia | 5,504,766 | 3.44% | 189,364 | 1.80% | $251,504,623 | 5.63% | 15% | $51,885,404 |
| Washington | 4,645,859 | 8.11% | 376,779 | 3.57% | $500,421,024 | 8.88% | 15% | $119,500,540 |
| Nyugat-Virginia | 1,296,201 | 3.29% | 42,645 | 0.40% | $56,639,175 | 6.07% | 15% | $11,933,874 |
| Wisconsin | 3,854,170 | 4.65% | 179,219 | 1.70% | $238,030,433 | 5.43% | 15% | $48,629,618 |
| Wyoming | 380,942 | 4.36% | 16,609 | 0.16% | $22,059,416 | 5.49% | 15% | $4,519,974 |
| �sszes amerikai egyes�lt �llamokbeli | 208,731,498 | 5.05% | 10,540,941 | N / A | $14,000,000,000 | N / A | N / A | $3,098,866,907 |
M�dszertan
Az �llami bev�telek kisz�m�t�s�hoz haszn�lt k�plet a k�vetkez�:
�llami piac m�rete =% doh�nyz�k az �llami * �llami lakoss�gban / �sszes felhaszn�l� az Egyes�lt �llamokban * 14 milli�rd doll�r
Ad�kulcs = �llami �s helyi ad�k + 15% -os j�ved�ki ad�
Bev�tel �s j�ved�ki ad� bev�tele = �llami piac m�rete * ad�kulcs.
Webhely�nk becsl�sei konzervat�vak. Ez az elemz�s nem sz�mol t�bb t�nyez�re, t�bbek k�z�tt:
Kisebb j�ved�ki ad�k:�Minden �llam meg fogja hat�rozni a saj�t ad�kat, de a sz�m�t�saink szerint ugyanazt a 15% -os j�ved�ki ad�t vette fel, amelyet Colorado minden �llamban �sszegy�jt.
A b�n�ld�z�ssel kapcsolatos kiad�sok cs�kkent�se:�Nem vett�k figyelembe, hogy a p�nz�llamok megmenten�nek, ha nem kell �rv�nyes�teni a marihu�na elleni t�rv�nyeket. Miron, a Harvard k�zgazd�sz �vente 7,7 milli�rd doll�r megtakar�t�st becs�li a b�n�ld�z� orsz�gokban.
Orvosi marihu�na �rt�kes�t�s:�Nem vontak le olyan bev�tel �sszeg�t, amely az orvosi marihu�n�t legaliz�lt. A Californi�ra kisz�m�tott teljes bev�tel p�ld�ul az orvosi marihu�na elad�s�b�l sz�rmaz� bev�teleket tartalmazza.
Lehets�ges piaci v�ltoz�sok:�Ha a marihu�na jogszer�v� v�lik a sz�lesebb szabadid�s felhaszn�l�s �rdek�ben, a fogyaszt�s n�vekedhet, ami a jelenlegi piaci becsl�sekhez k�pest alacsony.
Tov�bbi inform�ci� arr�l, hogy hol tart�zkodik a V�rosok oldalon.
Brian Yee infografik�ja. Cannabis n�v�nyi k�p a Shutterstockon kereszt�l.
